Over 95% chance of El Nino conditions from January-March 2024: U.S. forecaster

A major private weather forecasting firm agrees with federal agencies that there is a very high likelihood (>95%) of El Niño developing this winter.

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El Niño conditions are predicted to peak and have their strongest influence during the January to March 2024 period.

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Wetter weather is forecast for portions of the Ohio Valley and Southeast during El Niño months.

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Warmer than average temperatures are expected across the Southern tier of the U.S. due to El Niño.

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The strength and duration of El Niño will determine its impacts on spring wildfire season in the Southwest.

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Drier conditions may persist in the Pacific Northwest coast due to a typical El Niño weather pattern.

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Farmers and water managers are advised to consider the elevated El Niño odds in their 2024 winter plans and preparations.

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A strong El Niño could mean an earlier start to the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season with above-normal activity.

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